For in-depth analysis on wider issues surrounding business credit risk look no further than Graydon’s In Credit blog.

Statistics can prevent your business becoming a statistic

There were 656 construction insolvencies in Q4 2011. When the statistics for Q1 2012 are published, the name S Barratt & Co (Manchester) Limited will feature. For more than 75 years this family-owned business, trading as Barratt, completed projects in the commercial, retail, industrial and large-scale residential sectors. So what went wrong?

Well, of course, the economic downturn played its destructive role. And, in the more recent past, weakening Government support for solar farms doubtless added to their woes. Financial embarrassment was first evident when their 2010 filed accounts turned red - with pre-tax losses of nearly £1.3M most prominent.

Converting the accounts into ratios, their DSO - a measure of the average number of days that a company takes to collect revenue after a sale has been made - increased year-on-year by 42% to 104. Problems were building and, in 2011, serious pressures on cash flow triggered their demise into administration.

Administrators from Duff & Phelps were appointed on 29 November last year with the loss of 43 jobs. Their report tells us that "three large contractors" submitted Withholding Notices amounting to £3M and this, coupled with the (sadly predictable) withdrawal of solar contracts, sealed their fate. Despite redundancies and cost-cutting, no buyer could be found by the administrators, the business could no longer pay its debts as they fell due, and it was declared insolvent.

Now, sub-contractors and suppliers are owed more than £2M and the report tells us there "may be sufficient realisations" for non-preferential creditors. Let's hope it's more than just pence-in-the-pound.

What can you learn from this sad story? There are industry statistics that can provide a generic trend about your buyer's sector - the Office of National Statistics (ONS) is a good source - it tells us that 5,000 construction companies have been lost in the past two years. Most experts agree that cuts to the Government's capital programme and uncertainty around the economy and financing generally means there is little chance that 2012 will see this trend reverse.

Moving from the generic to the specific, a Graydon credit report will reveal your buyer's accounts and ratios which it will interpret into a rating or score. Their historic rating or score is also included and a trend is revealed. Comparisons of your buyer to their industry sector complete the risk profile. But finally, in the words of Aristotle, it's worth remembering that "the whole is greater than the sum of its parts."

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